Lara Croft can tackle a lot of things, but can she take on Bethesda?

Rise of the Tomb Raider was announced to be headed to its new exclusive home (at least for now) of Xbox on November 10. The date is picture-perfect for a holiday release, arriving on retail shelves just before Black Friday and the true beginning of the shopping season.

Yet, the one problem Lara might not be able to take down this time isn’t just a deadly trap or a giant snowstorm, but a little game titled Fallout 4 – which is set to arrive the exact same day.

Going into E3, gamers were already excited for Fallout 4 – partially due to the large reveal just a few weeks before the trade show, and partially because they have been waiting for a chance to return to Bethesda’s take on an open world for at least five or more years. Since the end of E3, many gamers and websites selected Fallout 4 as their Game of the Show (including Gamespresso) and the game ultimately won E3’s Game of the Show as well. 

In an already heavily-packed holiday season where money may be tight by the time November rolls around, will Rise of the Tomb Raider and Lara Croft be hurt by releasing the same day as Fallout 4?

Tomb Raider is already facing a launch that will reach a smaller audience since becoming a timed exclusive to Xbox One and 360 consoles. Pair this with the hype that Fallout 4 has reached for many players, and things may not end up so well for the action-adventure game sales wise.

Sure, some players may plan to pick up both copies, play the smaller, more linear Rise of the Tomb Raider, and then dive into Fallout 4 for the rest of the winter, but a larger number of players may solely choose Fallout 4, and plan to play it for the next 400 hours, ultimately looking right past Tomb Raider. If you can only choose one or two games during this season, would you not pick the one that offers a huge amount to do for your value (this is solely based on previous Bethesda games).

The most interesting part of the November 10 debate is that Microsoft had to have known that Fallout 4 was coming on that day, as Bethesda and director Todd Howard were included as a decent portion of the Xbox E3 conference, discussing mods and the inclusion of Fallout 3 as a preorder through Xbox One only. Therefore, the company would probably have been aware of when Fallout was arriving. Perhaps whatever exclusivity deal Microsoft has with Crystal Dynamics had this release date planned well in advanced and is ultimately unchangeable.

Fallout 4 is sure to sell millions upon millions of copies – even if just preorders seem to be any indication. Gamers are clearly keen to explore another Bethesda game. Rise of the Tomb Raider should move in either direction, if possible, and get out of the way of the juggernaut that Fallout is certain to be.

Fallout 4 male

  • bigshynepo

    Sadly, No. Tomb Raider will do decent numbers, but not nearly what it would’ve done if the game released weeks away from such a huge blockbuster. Problem is, they can’t move it any closer to Halo either. MS was effectively screwed by the Bethesda announcement to release this year. Sony lucked out big time with this 3rd party juggernaut and will gain media praise if Fallout 4 plays better on Playstation.

    • Mike Nitroy

      Oh Halo being earlier is a good point too I hadn’t thought about…a jam packed fall is an understatement.

    • datdude

      Yes. And that’s not even considering the launch of Star Wars Battlefront the following week, and Assassin’s Creed and Cod factor in also. Personally, I’ll probably still be playing MGSV when all these games ship, and I have some serious decisions for what will get my time this fall.

      • bigshynepo

        Yeah, I have Battlefront, Fallout and Metal Gear pre-ordered for this holiday season. I’m still trying to figure out when I’ll have time to play everything and X-com 2 amidst the holiday rush.

  • Sheldon Prescott

    I get why some people think that, but they’re both big games. It’s not like Tomb Raider is a new IP. People know it and love it! So I’m sure it will do well and people will buy it…I know I will.

    • Mike Nitroy

      Planning on picking up both as well, just not sure which I will tackle first ¯_(ツ)_/¯

      • Brad Davis

        Play RoTR first… Get your action fix from it first, then go put a sign on your door reading “Do Not Disturb until March 2016” as you basically shun family, friends, and life in general for the 400+ hour behemoth! Lol

  • Dirkster_Dude

    While there is some overlap they are fundamentally different games. Kind of like Baseball and Basketball. The are different sports, but essentially they are the same in that they are sports games. Both Rise of Tomb Raider and Fallout 4 are RPGs, but they are going for different experiences. What it may mean is a sale a few months later at a discount for 1 of the games, but it will still be a sale. For myself I plan to buy both Rise of Tomb Raider and Fallout 4 games.

    • Mike Nitroy

      Agreed, I just hope Tomb Raider gets the recognition it will (hopefully) deserve

  • Maxcer Maxcer

    now you know why Sony avoids the holiday rush of third party titles that will surely hurt sales. who want’s to go up against big games like CoD, AC, Fallout and Battlefront?

    Bloodborne launched at a perfect time.

    • Mike Nitroy

      Exactly right about Bloodborne

    • datdude

      As will Uncharted. And hopefully Horizon Zero Dawn, No Man’s Sky, Rime, The Tomorrow Children, Persona 5, Wild, and The Last Guardian.

    • That PvZ Guy

      Another Sony exclusive that’s gone under the radar a bit but will also be launching at a more ideal time is Until Dawn. Didn’t expect that one till October, but it was recently revealed that they’re gonna try and get the jump on everyone else and launch on August 25th. Sony understands the fundamental concept that the only real way to build popularity around a new IP is if you isolate it’s launch so that if nothing else, people will at least try it for lack of having anything else to play.

      The holiday season annoys me because there’s so many launches of all these different games that I’m genuinely interested in, but I’m forced to make a decision about which ones I wanna prioritize purchasing, and it just gets tense because I don’t wanna make the wrong choice. I know why so many games launch during the holidays, but I wish publishers didn’t have such a strong aversion to summer releases.

  • James Anthony

    Well I’am getting both. Fallout 4 will sell more then Tomb Raider because its on more than 2 platforms, its on PS4, Xbox one and PC. I will get Fallout for PS4 and Tomb Raider for Xbox One. Ahhh you see the guy who wrote this wanted you guys to fight. Did you fall for it?

  • Matthias Heinz

    ROTTR is exclusive to boost sales of the Xbox One. Does is matter if Fallout 4 will sell better?

    • FactsDontLieEver

      Timed exclusive*.

  • Zeong Julien

    I dont believe MS thought it through just like with everything else they do . No game should come out within 4 weeks of Fallout 4. The hype is just going to be insane. I am not a fallout fan and I have never played a fallout game but i was quite impressed with what I saw. I saw the hype building up over past few months and then watched the reveal trailer and I thought to myself it’s just all hype and nothing much. Then tuned into Bethesda E3 conference to watch Doom gameplay also stayed to watch Fallout 4 gameplay. The concept art in the beginning just drove me nuts. how big the friggin game is??? and how many cool locations?? I loved resident evil 4 and the starting part of the game. concept art reminded me of that. It has so…much. I am definitely buying it. I have played TR in the past but I will be going for Fallout 4 as I am not a huge gamer and normally dont tend to spend money and invest lot of time in games. I dont think any game should come withing 4-5 weeks of Fallout 4. I dont care what game it is. None of us has yet played fallout 4 but if it’s anything Bethesda is making us believe it is OMG it’s gonna sell like hot cakes.

  • Jecht_Sin

    Bring back the real Lara and she could have had a chance. That imposter.. Hmm.. I’m afraid not. Not that the previous game wasn’t good, on the contrary. But it was missing.. something. 😀

  • FactsDontLieEver

    Terrible idea to release this game same day as FO4. Fallout 4 slayed E3 and won all kinds of awards for its showing there. The hype is mega for this game. So you release your game same day as this game that has a giant following and not just that, but you limit its release to just Xbox One in a timed exclusive? Yea… id say FO4 will sell 10 to 1 over Tomb Raider. All PS4 users will be getting FO4 where non hardcore gamers on Xbox who cant afford to buy both will be split and have to choose one.

  • FactsDontLieEver

    On another note, ill admit that at 1st I was slightly disappointed that UC4 was pushed to 2016 and felt the selection lacking as far as PS4 gaming but then realized Sony was very smart to limit or push back its exclusives this holiday. With FO4, Battlefront, and even MGS:PP and Until Dawn dropping late Summer the 3rd party games (and the 1 PS4 exclusive UD) all coming out pre holiday is already too much to chose from. Sony will be better suited riding the 3rd party train through the holiday and then dropping heavy hitters in the “dead period” of gaming like Spring. I am an adult with a mortgage, family, bills etc and cant afford to get all these games right away. Imagine when the Star Wars movie drops pre Xmas, Battlefront will get even more of a push.

  • Rubix99

    The last Tomb Raider game does not even rank in the top 100 best selling Xbox 360 games!!!!!! Really can’t see the majority of Xbox gamers getting stoked for it now.

    Fallout 4 will utterly destroy it in sales……even when you discount the PS4 and PC versions.

  • datdude

    The problem for Tomb Raider is not just Fallout….it’s Halo 5 launching less than two weeks before Lara’s adventure, compounded by Star Wars Battlefront launching one week after. Add Fallout to that mix and that is a lot of competition for gamers dollars, and I didn’t even mention Assassin’s Creed or Cod. That is not good.

  • Odis Lee

    Bethesda blockbusters usually release in November. Safe bet, don’t schedule your releases in November.

  • Lion

    No…it…it can’t….I mean really…fallout is my baby…

  • I just played and finished the 2013 Tomb Raider a couple of days ago. It was a great game and I’m looking forward to the sequel (I know I will buy and play it), but I’m definitely buying Fallout 4 day one. I’m certain it’s the same for most others unless they have extra cash lying around. Oh, and then there’s Christmas.

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